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Assured Guaranty

Guarantees municipal and structured finance securities

Overview

Assured Guaranty provides financial guaranty insurance to help issuers lower borrowing costs on municipal and other financings by guaranteeing debt service. It issues an unconditional, irrevocable guarantee to pay scheduled principal and interest when due, reducing credit risk for issuers and investors. Its coverage includes tax-exempt and taxable bonds for schools, water, transportation, hospitals, PPPs, and other infrastructure across the US and internationally, including structured financings. The company differentiates itself with a long track record, strong financial strength, and rigorous credit review and surveillance, aiming to support sustainable public infrastructure and diversify funding while protecting policyholders for the life of insured investments.

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About Assured Guaranty

Simplify's Rating
Why Assured Guaranty is rated
B-
Rated B on Competitive Edge
Rated B on Growth Potential
Rated C on Differentiation

Industries

Government & Public SectorFinancial Services

Company Size

201-500

Company Stage

IPO

Headquarters

Hamilton, Bermuda

Founded

1985

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Simplify's take

What believers are saying

  • Nine-month 2026 production reached $280 million, and management targets over $400 million for 2026.
  • Structured finance doubled in 2026, widening fee generation beyond public finance.
  • Assured repurchased shares aggressively and still authorized another $121 million on November 4, 2026.

What critics are saying

  • Brightline Chapter 11 still exposes Assured to a 51% senior-bond concentration in Florida.
  • Third-quarter 2026 adjusted operating income fell to $86 million from $124 million year-over-year.
  • Alternative investment volatility and CLO losses already cut second-quarter earnings, undermining stability.

What makes Assured Guaranty unique

  • Assured Guaranty insures 51% of Brightline senior revenue bonds, giving restructuring leverage.
  • Its June 2026 acquisition of Assured Life Re diversifies earnings into annuity reinsurance.
  • Record November 2026 adjusted book value of $192.60 shows persistent capital compounding.

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Funding

Total Funding

$24.3M

Above

Industry Average

Funded Over

0 Rounds

Benefits

  • Meal Benefits
  • Home Office Stipend

Stock Price

Company News

Yahoo Finance
Nov 6th, 2026
Assured Guaranty production jumps 44% to $280M, with over $400M expected for 2026

Assured Guaranty expects financial guaranty production to exceed $400 million in 2026, after production rose 44% to $280 million in the first nine months. Growth came across public finance and structured finance. Third-quarter adjusted operating income fell to $86 million, or $1.94 per share, from $124 million, or $2.57, a year earlier. The prior-year quarter benefited from higher recovery assumptions on US mortgage-backed securities. A Brightline restructuring provides $490 million in new operating-company capital, including a $70 million commitment from Assured Guaranty. The company repurchased $10 million of shares and paid $17 million in dividends in the quarter. Adjusted book value per share reached a record high.

Business Wire
Nov 5th, 2026
Assured Guaranty Q3 2026: $278M nine-month GWP, record adjusted book value of $192.60 per share

Assured Guaranty Ltd. reported results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, citing strong new business in the first nine months of the year. The Bermuda-based financial guaranty insurer wrote $278 million of gross written premiums (GWP) and $280 million of present value of new business production (PVP). Global structured finance doubled both measures. Financial Guaranty segment adjusted operating income fell to $115 million from $145 million a year earlier. Loss expense was $1 million, while net economic loss development was a $27 million benefit, mainly tied to Brightline Trains Florida. Per-share adjusted book value rose to $192.60 from $186.43 at the end of 2025. Shareholders' equity per share fell to $122.91 from $125.32, hit by unrealized investment losses as interest rates rose.

Insurance Journal
Sep 25th, 2026
Florida's private railroad, Brightline, files for bankruptcy.

Florida's private railroad, Brightline, files for bankruptcy. Florida's Brightline has filed for bankruptcy protection after years of lower-than-expected revenue left it unable to repay billions it borrowed to finance the Miami-to-Orlando private railroad. Brightline Holdings LLC and certain other parent entities filed for Chapter 11 on Thursday in New Jersey, listing assets and liabilities of between $1 billion and $10 billion in the petition. The filing excludes Brightline's operating company, allowing it to continue running trains during the restructuring process. The Fortress Investment Group-backed company has been skipping interest payments and huddling with creditors for much of the year, looking to garner support across various groups for a plan to restructure its complex $5.5 billion debt stack. Brightline will get $258 million of post-petition funding from bond insurer Assured Guaranty Ltd. and other investors to see it through bankruptcy. Assured said in a statement that it and other stakeholders had also agreed to provide $490 million of new debt once the company exits the process. "This new capital will be used to support Brightline Florida's ongoing operations and help position it for long-term stability and success, in addition to repaying the post-petition financing," according to Assured, which insures a majority of the existing senior tax-exempt bonds issued by the operating company, BrightLine Trains Florida LLC. Brightline's collapse into bankruptcy, while seen as virtually inevitable in recent months, is a setback for billionaire Fortress co-founder Wes Edens, who conceived of the railroad in 2012 with a vision of creating transformative infrastructure. But even as he pushed ahead with a similar project between Nevada and California, the Florida high-speed passenger system has been on a slow-motion journey to insolvency. It's a saga that has captivated the municipal-bond market, where Brightline borrowed heavily and where bankruptcies are few and far between. When it tapped the muni market in 2019 for $1.5 billion to help finance the expansion to Orlando, the company was still loss-making. Months after the 2023 launch of its service between Miami and the Orlando airport, Brightline began slashing ridership forecasts. In 2024, when the company asked Wall Street for $1.2 billion in junk debt, it opened the door to hedge funds that later sought to seize control of the business through their own restructuring plan. Brightline made last-ditch efforts at a sale process in recent months under a new slate of management while fielding bankruptcy-loan proposals from the dueling creditor groups. Under the Chapter 11 plan, Brightline Trains Florida's $2.2 billion Series 2024 bonds will remain in place during the restructuring, according to a statement from the company. A further $2.2 billion in bonds issued by other associated entities will remain outstanding, with no cut to their principal amounts. "Today's agreement brings $490 million in new long-term capital to Brightline from the stakeholders who know this business, and it comes at a time of real momentum," said Patrick Goddard, chief executive officer of Brightline Florida. "This transaction will be a catalyst for further growth in ridership and revenue." Photo: A Brightline train in Miami. Photographer: Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg Was this article valuable?

PR Newswire
Sep 25th, 2026
Brightline Florida secures $490M in new financing and debt restructuring amid 17% revenue growth

Brightline Florida has reached a restructuring agreement that will secure $490 million in new financing from existing stakeholders and reduce debt. The deal includes $140 million in senior debt and $350 million in junior debt for Brightline Trains Florida LLC. The restructuring will not affect train operations between Miami and Orlando. Several bonds totalling over $4.3 billion will remain outstanding with no reduction in principal amounts. The company reports 14% ridership growth and 17% revenue growth year-to-date through August 2026. Certain parent entities will enter Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings to implement the agreement, but the operating entity Brightline Trains Florida LLC will not file and will continue normal operations. The company plans to expand with additional stations and extend service to Tampa.

Yahoo Finance
Aug 15th, 2026
Assured Guaranty misses Q2 earnings expectations on $19M CLO loss and Brightline credit concerns

Assured Guaranty's second quarter results missed Wall Street expectations, triggering a negative market reaction. Revenue of $195 million fell short of analyst estimates of $200.3 million, whilst adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.23 versus expectations of $1.60. CEO Dominic Frederico attributed the underperformance to lower alternative investment returns, including a $19 million mark-to-market loss on a collateralised loan obligation equity fund, and challenges with certain insured credits, particularly Brightline. Operating margin declined to 30.8% from 46.3% in the same quarter last year. During the earnings call, analysts pressed management on collateralised loan obligation volatility, capital allocation between share repurchases and annuity reinsurance, Brightline credit risk, and sustainability of new business volumes. Management emphasised disciplined underwriting and strong premium income as offsetting factors.

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