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The Federal Reserve decides on interest rates on October 28, and September minutes show most officials expect another increase by year end. In September, the Fed raised its target range by a quarter percentage point to 3.75% to 4%. US consumer prices rose 3.7% in the 12 months to September, up from 3.4% in August. Household credit card balances reached $1.26 trillion in the second quarter, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Third-quarter reports from lenders suggest borrowers are coping. Capital One's net charge-off rate fell to 2.73% from 3.23% in the second quarter, and Synchrony's dropped to 4.79% from 5.16% a year earlier. Ally Financial's retail auto delinquencies rose 6 basis points to 4.96%. JPMorgan Chase's card net charge-off rate was 2.91%.

US Fed's Kevin Warsh surprised by world economy's 'resilience' US Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh was speaking at an event at the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok on Oct 16. Published Oct 16, 2026, 01:23 PM Updated Oct 16, 2026, 02:23 PM BANGKOK - US Federal Reserve boss Kevin Warsh said on Oct 16 the global economy had shown unexpected resilience against strong economic shocks, as central banks battle surging inflation, while rich countries tackle spiking bond yields. "Almost everywhere in the global economy (is) showing resilience I'm not sure I would have predicted five or six months ago," he told an event hosted by International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Kristalina Georgieva at the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok. World energy prices have skyrocketed since US President Donald Trump launched the war on Iran in February, sparking retaliatory action by Tehran against Washington's Gulf allies and plunging the Middle East into crisis. The increase in oil and gas costs, along with a surge in AI investments, has spurred inflation in many economies, including the United States, putting pressure on central banks to raise interest rates. While many other rich economies were able to bring post-pandemic inflation back to their targets, the Fed has failed to meet its long-term 2% goal for more than five years. Since taking over as Fed chair in May, Warsh has promised the central bank will deliver on its price stability commitment, and in September, it raised rates for the first time in three years. The Fed meets again in October to set rates, and markets expect it to hold before a second 25-basis-point hike in December.

Fed Governor Waller frames FRED vs AI as the central bank data battle of its era. Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller addressed FRED Con 2026 in St. Louis, framing the tension between AI tools and trusted public economic data as a defining challenge for modern central banking. When a senior Federal Reserve official chooses to frame a keynote address around a monster-movie metaphor - pitting a beloved institutional data platform against the surging force of artificial intelligence - it signals something more consequential than conference theatrics. On October 1, 2026, Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller took to the podium at FRED Con 2026, hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, to address what may be one of the most structurally important questions in modern economic governance: what happens to trusted, authoritative public data in an era when artificial intelligence can generate, interpret, and narrativize information at unprecedented scale and speed? The conference itself - themed "Navigating trust, AI and storytelling in a world of data" - was not a peripheral gathering. FRED Con 2026 brought together data professionals, economists, policymakers, and technologists to grapple with the evolving relationship between institutional data infrastructure and the rapidly proliferating ecosystem of AI-driven analytical tools. That the Federal Reserve chose this forum for a Board-level address underscores how seriously the institution regards the intersection of data integrity and artificial intelligence as a policy-relevant concern, not merely a technical curiosity. At the center of Waller's address is FRED itself - Federal Reserve Economic Data - the St. Louis Fed's flagship public database and one of the most widely consulted economic data repositories in the world. FRED has long served as a democratic instrument of economic literacy, making hundreds of thousands of time-series data points freely accessible to researchers, journalists, financial professionals, students, and policymakers alike. Its authority derives not merely from the breadth of its data holdings but from the institutional credibility of the Federal Reserve system that curates and maintains it. In a world increasingly saturated with data of uncertain provenance, that credibility carries extraordinary weight. The collision course Waller dramatizes - FRED versus AI, rendered in the idiom of a Godzilla-versus-Kong blockbuster - captures a genuine and growing tension in the financial and economic information landscape. Generative artificial intelligence systems now offer users the ability to query economic conditions, generate forecasts, and construct narratives around data with remarkable fluency. For many users, these tools may feel faster, more conversational, and more immediately useful than navigating a structured database. Yet speed and fluency are not synonyms for accuracy or reliability. AI systems trained on broad internet corpora can hallucinate statistics, misattribute data sources, or present outdated figures with the same confident tone they use for verified facts. This is precisely the institutional challenge that Waller's framing illuminates. The Federal Reserve's concern is not simply that AI might displace FRED as a user-facing tool - it is that the proliferation of AI-generated economic narratives, disconnected from authoritative primary data, could corrode the shared factual foundation upon which monetary policy discourse depends. When market participants, legislators, and the public form views about inflation, employment, or financial stability based on AI-generated summaries of uncertain quality, the downstream consequences for policy transmission and democratic accountability are real and material. The conference theme of "storytelling" is equally revealing. Central banks have long understood that communication is itself a monetary policy instrument - that how the Fed explains its decisions shapes expectations, which in turn shape economic outcomes. The emergence of AI as a storytelling engine introduces a new and largely unregulated layer of narrative production into this ecosystem. An AI system that summarizes Federal Reserve communications, even with good intentions, may introduce distortions, omissions, or framings that subtly alter how those communications are received. The question of who controls the authoritative economic narrative - and how that narrative is grounded in verified data - is no longer abstract. The Bank for International Settlements, which published Waller's remarks on October 7, 2026, has itself been an active participant in global conversations about the governance of artificial intelligence in financial services. The BIS's dissemination of this speech through its official channels reflects a broader multilateral recognition that the data integrity challenge Waller describes is not uniquely American - it is a structural feature of the global financial information environment that central banks collectively must navigate. What this means for financial institutions and policymakers. Governor Waller's FRED Con 2026 address arrives at a pivotal moment. Financial institutions, regulators, and data providers are all being forced to answer the same underlying question: in an environment where AI can produce authoritative-sounding economic analysis on demand, how do institutions assert and defend the primacy of verified, curated, institutionally accountable data? The Federal Reserve's implicit answer - doubling down on FRED's role as a trusted public resource while engaging directly with the AI challenge - suggests that the central bank views this not as a battle it can afford to lose. For banks, asset managers, and fintech platforms that rely on public economic data to calibrate models and inform strategy, the integrity of that foundational data layer is not a peripheral concern. It is the bedrock upon which risk assessment, regulatory compliance, and investment decision-making are built. Waller's monster-movie framing may be deliberately playful, but the stakes he is describing are entirely serious. Elena rosato. Italian fintech analyst. Covers EU payment regulation and the Mediterranean banking sector. § Comments Open discussion no account needed