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Kalshi fires back at Rhode Island lawsuit while targeting "Kalshi Lies" campaign. Kalshi's legal fight expanded again after Rhode Island accused the company of offering unlicensed sports betting products. Prediction market operator Kalshi has escalated its legal fight with state regulators after filing suit against Rhode Island officials and sending a cease-and-desist letter to a group behind an anti-Kalshi advertising campaign. The company filed a federal complaint against Rhode Island authorities after state officials signaled potential enforcement action tied to Kalshi's sports event contracts. Hours later, Rhode Island Attorney General Peter Neronha responded with a separate lawsuit accusing both Kalshi and Polymarket of operating unlicensed sports betting products through prediction markets. The dispute adds another chapter to Kalshi's growing legal battle across multiple US states, where regulators continue challenging the company's argument that its sports markets fall under federal commodities law rather than state gambling oversight. Rhode Island becomes the latest battleground. According to Kalshi's filing, Rhode Island officials allegedly refused to assure the company that enforcement action was not imminent during a meeting earlier this week. Kalshi argued that the threat alone justified federal intervention, claiming its event contracts are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission rather than state gaming agencies. The state's lawsuit argues that Kalshi and Polymarket are effectively offering sports betting products without obtaining local licenses or complying with gambling regulations. The complaint specifically targets sports-related event contracts, which allow users to trade on game outcomes and player performances in a format regulators increasingly compare to traditional sportsbooks. That argument has surfaced repeatedly over the last several months. Regulators in Nevada, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Washington, Wisconsin and other states have either filed lawsuits, issued cease-and-desist orders or secured temporary restrictions against Kalshi's operations. Courts have delivered mixed rulings so far, leaving the broader legal question unresolved. Sports contracts have also become central to Kalshi's business. Reporting from earlier this month estimated that roughly 90% of activity on the platform now comes from sports-related markets, including esports events. "Kalshi Lies" campaign draws legal response. Alongside the Rhode Island filing, Kalshi also issued a cease-and-desist letter to FairPredicts, the group behind a recent advertising push using the slogan "Kalshi Lies." The campaign accuses Kalshi of misleading users about how its markets function, alleging the platform operates more like a sportsbook while relying heavily on internal market-making activity through Kalshi Trading and institutional participants. FairPredicts has not publicly disclosed its funding sources. Kalshi has denied the accusations and is now attempting to halt the campaign through legal pressure, arguing the advertisements contain false and misleading claims about the company's operations. The timing is notable given Kalshi's recent efforts to position itself closer to responsible gambling and consumer protection discussions despite continuing to reject the "gambling" label attached to its products. Just days before the Rhode Island dispute, Kalshi announced a $2 million partnership with the National Council on Problem Gambling, becoming the first member of the organization's newly created "Financial Services & Trading" category. The move drew immediate scrutiny across the gambling industry because Kalshi has consistently argued its platform is a federally regulated financial exchange rather than a sportsbook. Critics questioned why a company rejecting gambling classifications would simultaneously partner with one of the largest responsible gambling organizations in the US. Kalshi maintains the initiative is focused on "trader health and safety," not gambling addiction, though the distinction is becoming harder to separate as more states challenge the company's sports markets in court. Stay tuned to UMG Gaming for more updates on prediction markets, tribal gaming, and the evolving U.S. gaming landscape. 25 May 2026

Prediction markets could transform World Cup fan engagement. Updated: May 19, 2026 Fact Checker The rise of prediction markets is becoming one of the biggest emerging trends surrounding the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket already seeing growing trading activity tied to tournament outcomes well before kickoff. As the World Cup approaches, analysts expect prediction markets to significantly increase fan engagement by offering an alternative to traditional sports betting. Rather than placing fixed wagers against sportsbooks, users on these platforms buy and sell event contracts whose values fluctuate based on market sentiment and real-world developments. The expanding influence of prediction markets received another major boost after FIFA announced a partnership involving prediction market technology tied to the upcoming tournament. FIFA recently announced the organization's first-ever prediction markets partner, ADI Predictstreet, ahead of the 2026 World Cup, signaling increasing acceptance of event-contract style trading around global sporting events. Industry observers believe prediction markets could attract a broader audience during the World Cup because they function more like financial exchanges than traditional sportsbooks. Traders can buy contracts early, sell positions later, and react to injuries, roster news, or tournament results in real time. Kalshi and Polymarket expand World Cup event contracts. Both Kalshi and Polymarket have already launched active markets related to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Current offerings include contracts on which nation will win the tournament, whether certain teams will advance to later rounds, and projections involving top scorers and championship matchups. On Kalshi, Brazil, France, Argentina, Spain, and England currently rank among the leading favorites in World Cup winner markets based on implied probability trading. Polymarket has shown similar trends, with heavy trading volume centered around Europe and South America's traditional soccer powers. The ability to trade positions throughout the tournament could create significantly more engagement than traditional futures betting, particularly during the knockout stages when momentum and public sentiment shift rapidly. Prediction market activity surrounding sports has surged over the past year, particularly during major events such as the Super Bowl, March Madness, and the NBA Finals. World Cup markets are expected to become some of the largest sports-event trading contracts ever offered because of the tournament's global audience. Key dates and locations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be the largest tournament in event history, expanding to 48 teams and taking place across three countries. Key World Cup information. * Opening Match: June 11, 2026 * Final: July 19, 2026 * Host Countries: United States, Canada, Mexico * Total Host Cities: 16 * Final Venue: MetLife Stadium Major host cities include New York City, Los Angeles, Dallas, Miami, Mexico City, Toronto, and Vancouver. The tournament is expected to break attendance, television, streaming, and betting records due to its expanded format and North American location. Prediction markets could change fan experience. Supporters of prediction markets argue that event-contract trading creates deeper engagement because users are constantly reacting to tournament developments instead of simply waiting for a bet to settle. Traders can build positions before the tournament, hedge during group play, or cash out during knockout rounds. Critics, however, continue debating whether prediction markets should be regulated similarly to sportsbooks. Legal questions surrounding sports-event contracts remain active in several jurisdictions, particularly as trading volumes continue rising. Still, many analysts believe the World Cup could become a defining moment for prediction markets in sports. FIFA's willingness to embrace the space through partnerships and growing fan interest suggests event-contract trading may become an increasingly important part of the global sports landscape moving forward. Bekah Wright is a journalist whose career has been filled with unique experiences, from fly-fishing and hot-air ballooning to herding sheep. After recently relocating from Los Angeles to Connecticut, she's added baby goat cuddling to her list of adventures. Whether she's exploring new places or working at her desk, Bekah has contributed her writing to a range of publications, including National Geographic Kids, Bon Appétit, TV Guide, the Los Angeles Times, and Los Angeles Magazine. Share page

Hyperliquid jumps into the betting boom with new 'Outcome Tokens' for real-world events. April 29, 2026 - By NewsBTC - Original Hyperliquid is launching 'Outcome Tokens' for prediction markets, aiming to compete with Polymarket and Kalshi, while enhancing its decentralized exchange offerings. Confidence: 80% Horizon: medium-term Key numbers. * 110% year-to-date increase in 'hype' token * 33% decline from all-time highs * 3.5% inflation threshold for prediction market Market drivers (micro). * Introduction of non-leveraged prediction contracts * Integration with existing trading systems * Strong performance of 'hype' token Context (macro). * Growing interest in decentralized finance and prediction markets * Increased competition among decentralized exchanges Who wins / who loses. * Traders benefit from reduced liquidation risks * Existing prediction market platforms may face increased competition Scenarios. Base Hyperliquid successfully launches its prediction market, attracting a significant user base and enhancing its market position. Alt The prediction market fails to gain traction, leading to a decline in user engagement and token value. What to watch next. * Launch date for hip-4 * User adoption rates of Outcome Tokens * Market reactions to Hyperliquid's new offerings Full analysis. Hyperliquid, a rapidly growing decentralized exchange, is making strides into the prediction market sector with its innovative proposal for 'Outcome Tokens' aimed at real-world events. This strategic move positions Hyperliquid to compete with established platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. What is hip-4? The new system upgrade, referred to as hip-4, is currently in public testing. Unlike Hyperliquid's traditional focus on perpetual futures, hip-4 will center on simpler prediction-style contracts. For instance, a market could be created to determine if U.S. inflation in July exceeds 3.5%. This would generate two tokens, each representing a possible outcome, allowing traders to buy or sell accordingly. Advantages of prediction markets. One of the key distinctions of Hyperliquid's proposed prediction contracts is that they will not rely on leverage, which is common in traditional crypto trading. This could significantly lower the risk of liquidation events that often disrupt leveraged positions. Sunny Shi, an investor at Syncracy Capital, believes this design could change how sophisticated traders approach these bets, allowing them to leverage portfolio margin effectively. Integration with existing systems. Hyperliquid's prediction markets will be integrated into its existing trading system, enabling a seamless experience for users who are already active in crypto and commodities trading. This integration could facilitate a broader distribution of the new product without the need for building a new audience. Market performance. The native token 'hype' has been one of the top-performing assets, despite a recent retracement. It remains up approximately 110% year-to-date, although it has seen a decline of about 33% from its all-time highs. Analysts suggest that Hyperliquid is breaking out of a rising wedge on its daily chart, indicating potential future price movements. Conclusion. As Hyperliquid continues to innovate and expand its offerings, the crypto community will be watching closely to see how these new prediction markets perform and what impact they will have on the broader market landscape.