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ExxonMobil

Produces oil, gas, fuels and chemical materials

Natural Gas Modeling Analyst - Global Trading Analytics

Full-Time
No salary listed
Mid
Bachelor's, Master's, PhD
Spring, TX, USA
In Person
Data & AnalyticsData Science, Data Analysis

About the job

Requirements
  • A Bachelor's, Master's, or PhD degree in Engineering, Economics, Mathematics, Statistics, Operations Research, Energy Systems, Finance, or a related quantitative discipline is required.
  • Hands-on experience utilizing the Gas Pipeline Competition Model for North American natural gas market analysis, forecasting, and commercial decision support is required.
  • Strong understanding of North American natural gas markets, including supply and demand fundamentals, storage dynamics, pipeline operations, transportation markets, and regional basis relationships is required.
  • Experience building and maintaining market balance models, supply and demand models, flow models, forecasting frameworks, and fundamental market analysis tools is required.
  • Demonstrated ability to develop market views and translate analytical outputs into actionable commercial insights, trading recommendations, and portfolio strategies is required.
  • Strong understanding of natural gas transportation economics, storage economics, basis markets, arbitrage opportunities, and physical asset optimization is required.
  • Experience integrating and analyzing large datasets, including weather data, pipeline flow data, storage data, production data, market pricing data, and forward curve information is required.
  • Proficiency in Python and experience with quantitative analysis libraries such as pandas and NumPy are required.
  • Strong SQL skills and experience working with large-scale datasets, data pipelines, and database environments are required.
  • Experience conducting statistical analysis, time-series analysis, scenario modeling, forecasting, and sensitivity analysis is required.
  • Ability to communicate complex quantitative and market concepts effectively to both technical and commercial stakeholders is required.
  • Demonstrated ability to work collaboratively in a fast-paced commercial and trading environment while managing multiple priorities is required.
Responsibilities
  • Develop, maintain, and enhance Gas Pipeline Competition Model-based models supporting North American natural gas market analysis, trading, asset optimization, and commercial strategy.
  • Build and maintain natural gas supply and demand models incorporating production, pipeline flows, LNG exports, industrial demand, power generation demand, residential and commercial consumption, and storage dynamics.
  • Develop regional and basin-level market balance views across Henry Hub, Permian, Northeast, Midcontinent, Gulf Coast, Western Canada, and other major North American trading hubs.
  • Analyze pipeline constraints, transportation capacity utilization, flow dynamics, congestion events, and basis market behavior to identify commercial and trading opportunities.
  • Deliver short-, medium-, and long-term market forecasts and fundamental views supporting trading strategies, portfolio positioning, and risk management decisions.
  • Support optimization of physical and financial portfolios, including storage injection and withdrawal strategies, transportation capacity utilization, basis optimization, and contractual optionality.
  • Partner with traders, originators, and structurers to translate market fundamentals and modeling outputs into actionable commercial insights, trade ideas, and positioning recommendations.
  • Evaluate structured natural gas transactions, transportation agreements, storage contracts, and other commercial opportunities through quantitative and fundamental analysis.
  • Build and maintain Python-based analytical frameworks, data pipelines, and modeling tools that improve the scalability, transparency, and efficiency of market analysis.
  • Conduct statistical analysis, scenario analysis, sensitivity testing, and forecasting exercises to assess market risks and opportunities.
  • Evaluate model performance through validation, back-testing, and continuous enhancement to improve forecast accuracy and commercial value.
  • Collaborate with data engineering teams, quantitative analysts, and global trading organizations to develop robust, scalable, production-ready analytical solutions.
  • Produce market commentary, presentations, and analytical reports that communicate market dynamics and modeling outputs to commercial stakeholders.
Desired Qualifications
  • An advanced degree in a quantitative, engineering, economics, or energy-related discipline is preferred.
  • Extensive experience applying Gas Pipeline Competition Model modeling within a natural gas trading organization, energy company, consulting firm, or market analytics organization is preferred.
  • Experience supporting natural gas trading, marketing, origination, asset optimization, or commercial strategy functions is preferred.
  • Knowledge of LNG markets, power markets, renewable generation impacts, and cross-commodity market relationships is preferred.
  • Experience evaluating storage assets, transportation portfolios, basis optimization strategies, and structured natural gas transactions is preferred.
  • Familiarity with machine learning techniques, advanced forecasting methodologies, and quantitative analytics frameworks is preferred.
  • Experience with cloud-based analytics platforms, modern data architectures, and large-scale data processing environments is preferred.
  • Familiarity with software engineering best practices, including version control, testing, documentation, and model deployment, is preferred.

About the company

ExxonMobil produces oil and natural gas and manufactures fuels, lubricants, and chemicals for transport operators, industrial customers, and consumers around the world. Its businesses span resource exploration and production, refineries that turn crude oil into fuels, and plants that make plastics and other chemical materials. The company sells products through wholesale supply agreements and the Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands, including motor oils for vehicles and machinery. It also sells services that capture, transport, and store industrial carbon dioxide underground. The merged company formed in 1999 from Exxon and Mobil, with roots in earlier oil businesses, and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.

Company Size

10,001+

Company Stage

N/A

Total Funding

N/A

Headquarters

Irving, Texas

Founded

1999

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Simplify's Take

What believers are saying

  • Investment has cash backing: ExxonMobil generated $23.6 billion of operating cash flow in the June 2026 quarter.
  • ExxonMobil is commercializing carbon storage: its second Louisiana operation started in February 2026.
  • Eligible U.S. employees build retirement savings: ExxonMobil contributes 7% of salary when workers contribute 6%.

What critics are saying

  • Oil prices drive ExxonMobil's results: higher crude prices added $4.2 billion to upstream earnings in the June 2026 quarter.
  • U.S. starting vacation is limited: ExxonMobil lists a two-week base allowance that increases with service.
  • ExxonMobil's workforce contracted: February 2026 reporting showed regular employees fell from 61,000 to 58,000 during 2025.

What makes ExxonMobil unique

  • ExxonMobil controls a vast shale footprint: its combined Permian holdings span more than 1.4 million net acres.
  • ExxonMobil directs Guyana's major offshore field: its affiliate operates Stabroek with a 45% stake.
  • ExxonMobil owns carbon-storage infrastructure: its U.S. carbon dioxide pipeline network stretches more than 1,300 miles.

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Benefits

  • Health Insurance
  • Life Insurance
  • 401(k) Retirement Plan
  • Competitive compensation
  • Medical plans
  • Maternity Leave
  • Retirement benefits
  • Annual vacations & holidays
  • Day care assistance program
  • Training and development program
  • Tuition assistance program
  • Workplace flexibility policy

Company News

Yahoo Finance
Oct 26th, 2026
Exxon nears a record as Treasury says Gulf oil is "roaring back" and 2026 EPS hits $13.29

ExxonMobil heads into its October 30 earnings report near a record high, even as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Persian Gulf oil exports have passed pre-conflict levels. Brent crude fell 1% on Monday to about $115 a barrel on hopes the Iran war is easing. Analysts expect Exxon to earn $13.29 a share in 2026, nearly double 2025's $6.99, driven by war-lifted oil prices and refining margins. They have cut their 2028 estimate 5% since June, to $10.62. Exxon's second-quarter earnings reached $14.5 billion, up from $7.1 billion a year earlier. The company says each $1 move in Brent shifts yearly earnings by about $700 million. Exxon trades at about 13x forward earnings, but about 17x on 2028 estimates. Its December plan update may matter more than the October report.

Yahoo Finance
Oct 22nd, 2026
Exxon recoups $55B Guyana investment, turning the project into a free cash flow engine

Exxon Mobil says its Guyana project has fully paid back its investment, a shift management called "very much an inflection into free cash flow." The company said on a July 31, 2026 call that it recovered its $55 billion investment and all operating costs. Under the contract, up to 75% of production can go toward cost recovery. The rest is shared 50-50 with Guyana's government. Gross output was about 900,000 barrels a day in the second quarter. Exxon's free cash flow hit $17.0 billion in the quarter, up from $5.27 billion a year earlier. Management expects Guyana's free cash flow in 2030 to be twice the 2025 level. Higher oil prices may have boosted the quarter, and Exxon temporarily lost about 10% of upstream production to the Middle East conflict. The fifth floating production ship, Errea Wittu, is on track to start up by the end of 2026.

Yahoo Finance
Oct 21st, 2026
Exxon stock up 65.8% in a year: key dates to watch, from Q3 results to Guyana's fifth vessel

Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares returned 65.8% over the past year, against 17.4% for the S&P 500, helped by tight markets. Several events could move the stock over the next six months. The company reports third-quarter 2026 results on October 30, 2026. Second-quarter net income more than doubled to $14.5 billion from $7.08 billion a year earlier, and management expects refining margins to stay very high. Errea Wittu, its fifth production vessel in Guyana, is due to start up by the end of 2026. Exxon also plans investment decisions on projects in Mozambique and Papua New Guinea before year-end. The Middle East conflict cost Exxon about 10% of upstream output in the second quarter. Windfall taxes on European refining are a risk.

Yahoo Finance
Oct 20th, 2026
Cash beats debt: stronger balance sheets sit closer to 52-week highs in all five pairs

Companies with more cash than debt are holding up better as inflation hits 3.7%, the 10-year Treasury yields about 5.1%, and US oil tops $100 a barrel. An analysis of five industry pairs found the stronger company sat closer to its 52-week high in every case. In four, debt made the difference. Microsoft, with $20 billion of net cash, is 1.8% below its high. CoreWeave, with $46 billion of net debt, is 56.3% below. Exxon is 0.4% below its high, against 35.6% for American Airlines. Nucor trails its high by 4.9%, while Celanese trails by 30.8%. Alphabet is down 14.4%, while Charter, with $96 billion of net debt, is down 57.0%. Costco and Nike are the exception: Nike's gap stems from falling sales, not debt.

Yahoo Finance
Oct 17th, 2026
Diesel at $6.20 a gallon: Marathon leads five energy stocks set to gain

US diesel prices averaged $6.199 a gallon for the week of October 5, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said. That is down from a 2026 peak of $6.529 in late September but more than $2.50 above a year ago. A disruption to Strait of Hormuz shipping earlier this year cut global refined fuel exports. Refiners gain most. Marathon Petroleum's refining margin doubled to $36.33 a barrel in the second quarter, from $17.58 a year earlier. Integrated majors also benefit. Chevron's downstream earnings rose to $4.9 billion from $737 million, while ExxonMobil's refining and fuels earnings reached $4.1 billion, nearly double a year earlier. Pipeline firms Energy Transfer and Enterprise Products Partners earn mostly fees, so they get little direct lift. The EIA expects prices to stay high through October before easing.